Some do’s and dont's of project execution
A widely studied in-depth survey identified 18 key factors that influence selection of engineering contractors. Project management (PM) capability was number 1. Conceptual engineering (CE) capability was number 17. Now, there can be no argument about number 1. But ranking CE next to last raises some serious questions about how the industry views the importance (or lack of it) of this aspect of project work. Is this view justified?
Consider this: CE, which ideally consists of feasibility study, conceptual process design and preliminary estimating, can have a major influence on roughly 60% of total invested cost. In many projects, however, only superficial work is rushed through this phase, with the result that scope is poorly defined and can keep growing as work progresses, inflating CAPEX and stretching out schedules. Should sufficient effort be put into CE, though, scope growth can be controlled. There will be little need for “value engineering”, “scope rationalization” or other unsatisfactory stop-gap measures.
Consider this too: skimping on conceptual engineering does not make budgetary sense. The cost of adequate CE can run no more than 1.5-2% of total CAPEX for larger revamps, and 10% for smaller ones. Is it really wise, therefore, to starve this important initial phase of a project? Whether one needs to treat it as an expense or a capital cost, it seems clear that the most cost-effective route is to spend a few more dollars up front and save a bundle downstream.
Particular Importance for Revamps
It is especially important to devote sufficient effort to conceptual engineering in a revamp. Delays in start-up of a grass roots project means postponement of future income. Delays in a revamp means loss of current income. Every day of down time can result in a large loss of revenue now. With management under the gun to maximize revenue, is this acceptable?
But just why are requirements for conceptual engineering so much more stringent for revamps? With many grass roots projects CE can be adapted or taken whole from similar or identical process units. But no two revamps are alike. Every one is unique. Without an exact knowledge of limitations of existing process, equipment, plot area, piping and off-sites, it is impossible to define an accurate work scope. But it is common knowledge that existing process and equipment performance may not follow original design. OEM data sheets do not necessarily reflect reality. Process data management system information may be missing, existing instrumentation may be faulty, and non-idealities commonly exist. But to control scope growth computer simulations must be calibrated with actual data. And that task can be accomplished only in painstakingly carried out conceptual Engineering.
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Oil sands crude — profits and problems?
Canadian bitumen production currently runs about 1 MMbpd, with some being sold as Synbit and Dilbit. Over the next 10-12 years output is expected to increase to 3.5 MMbpd and more refiners will begin investing to process it and come to depend on the Synbit and Dilbit for a significant part of their supply. ...
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Heavy crudes are here to stay. As longs as oil prices remain high, Canadian, Venezuelan, Deep Water Gulf of Mexico, Mexican and other low API gravity crude oils will play an ever more important role in supplying world refineries. And prices promise to remain high because gainsayers notwithstanding, Hubbert ...
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Designing deepcut vacuum units that really work
Every barrel of vacuum gas oil (VGO) you can save from being reduced to coke in the delayed coker unit is a barrel more that can go to the FCCU. That’s a good reason to raise HVGO cutpoint. But how to do it? Some people think the job can be done just by running computer models in the engineering ...
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Some do’s and dont's of project execution
A widely studied in-depth survey identified 18 key factors that influence selection of engineering contractors. Project management (PM) capability was number 1. Conceptual engineering (CE) capability was number 17. Now, there can be no argument about number 1. But ranking CE next to last raises some ...
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A time for grass roots thinking ?
Within the past year or two spiking crude prices and surging refinery margins have led to overheated talk about increasing refinery capacity worldwide. Plans for construction of as many 60 grass roots refineries have been discussed. But stretched out lead times for major equipment and inflated prices, ...
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A single integrated vacuum system
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A group of interesting articles* deals with opportunity crudes, a mixed breed that includes very heavy, sour and high total acid number types as well as those with unexceptional naphthenic acid content but which do have significant concentrations of aliphatic acids or possess the ability to generate ...
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Processing heavy Canadian crude
Reducing crude oil cost is the major incentive driving crude and vacuum unit projects to handle heavy Canadian crudes. But such crudes–Albian Heavy, Christina Lake, MacKay River and others derived from oil sands–today present refiners with a unique set of problems not just because of extra-low ...
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Why do many crude/vacuum units perform poorly?
In many cases it’s because the original design was based more on virtual than actual reality. There is no question: computer simulations have a key role to play but it’s equally true that process design needs to be based on what works in the field and not on the ideals of the process simulator. ...